THERE IS NO NEED TO FEAR. PLEASE RETURN TO YOUR CABINS, THE
ICEBERG ONLY MEANS WE HAVE MORE ICE FOR YOUR DRINKS.
This market is trade-able but it might be the last time
before we get into a major correction that originally I thought would be on or
about March 1st now I might have to move it back to June 1st as QE3 might slow
things up. We could get Israel to help us get things back on track though. The
SP500 is 42% over it's historic median trend line over the past 130 years and
70% over the median bottom adjusted for inflation over the same period. Bubble
vision (CNBC) still touts nothing is wrong and everyone says your missing the
market. I don't think so but time will tell. The chart below shows the
percentage of stocks above the 200 day moving average- a little top heavy,
hey-and the relative strength and moving average convergence graph below. You
will see three negative divergences. Each time a new top has been made in the
stock market averages and the stocks above their 200 day average all three
indicators have been trending down, NOT UP, as they should be in a strong
market. Remember what happened in June 08 when all three crossed over (see
below), I hope you owned a lot of PUT options I did, and I do now.
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